Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.248716 0.281015 0.315329 0.354435 0.397701 0.444040 0.497360
2025-08-24 0.203992 0.247300 0.296096 0.354926 0.423694 0.501291 0.595219
2025-08-31 0.171598 0.221207 0.280019 0.354405 0.445456 0.552721 0.688042
2025-09-07 0.150723 0.205168 0.272664 0.361659 0.474979 0.613433 0.794247
2025-09-14 0.131517 0.188300 0.261654 0.362104 0.494634 0.661900 0.887105
2025-09-21 0.116098 0.174202 0.252165 0.362677 0.513228 0.708833 0.979406
2025-09-28 0.103467 0.162225 0.243903 0.363425 0.531089 0.754725 1.071681
2025-10-05 0.094256 0.153924 0.239609 0.368690 0.554621 0.808536 1.176282
2025-10-12 0.087615 0.148578 0.238787 0.378334 0.584222 0.871420 1.295503
2025-10-19 0.080301 0.141337 0.234348 0.381992 0.604934 0.922317 1.399714
2025-10-26 0.074787 0.136309 0.232666 0.389324 0.630974 0.981453 1.517566
2025-11-02 0.070812 0.133339 0.233797 0.400767 0.663405 1.050841 1.652589
2025-11-09 0.064066 0.125230 0.226398 0.398801 0.676017 1.092791 1.751191
2025-11-16 0.058326 0.118258 0.220230 0.398246 0.690590 1.138133 1.856621
2025-11-23 0.053107 0.111641 0.214047 0.397083 0.703885 1.181833 1.961093
2025-11-30 0.049878 0.108355 0.213262 0.404774 0.731691 1.248920 2.103817
2025-12-07 0.045836 0.103062 0.208448 0.405094 0.747141 1.296960 2.218474
2025-12-14 0.042231 0.098221 0.204006 0.405634 0.762763 1.345636 2.335652
2025-12-21 0.039007 0.093789 0.199913 0.406410 0.778622 1.395075 2.455572
2025-12-28 0.036693 0.090998 0.198666 0.412187 0.803284 1.459720 2.602168
2026-01-04 0.035120 0.089626 0.200023 0.422799 0.836851 1.540284 2.777417
2026-01-11 0.032941 0.086675 0.198001 0.426820 0.858688 1.601751 2.922955
2026-01-18 0.031347 0.084869 0.198121 0.434891 0.888133 1.677095 3.094014